1

Extended Order

2yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 73

Musselburgh · Copper Blossom Ladies Day Nursery Selling Handicap · 7f 15y

#4

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a winning start in a weak Brighton maiden (6f) in May. Shaped as though amiss at Kempton next time and fared little better at Newbury since. Something to prove on nursery bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Brighton 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 5f215y Goo 13029/0554 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 7f Sta 137 · HIGHER CLASS29/0643 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS17/073projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Newbury311th9th+2
2026-06-29Kempton411th10th+1
2026-05-29Brighton51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0529/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 5
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
29/06/202611th11/142%0%-0.42
17/07/202611th200/10%9%+0.09