1
Jonny Concrete
5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 81
Musselburgh · Champagne Pommery Cuvee Louise Gold Cup Handicap · 7f 15y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
77%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Newmarket | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hamilton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Chester | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Ayr | 2 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 2nd | 16/5 | 83% | 94% | +0.11 |
| 18/07/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 54% | +0.01 |
| 02/08/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 19/09/2025 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 84% | +0.08 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |