8
One Night Thunder
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 75
Musselburgh · Champagne Pommery Cuvee Louise Gold Cup Handicap · 7f 15y
#11
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Nottingham | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Thirsk | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Southwell | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Beverley | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 18/5 | 81% | 100% | +0.19 |
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 30/10/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |