6
Vixey
6yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 79
Musselburgh · Champagne Pommery Cuvee Louise Gold Cup Handicap · 7f 15y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlisle | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Newmarket | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | York | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.32 |
| 28/07/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |