Woohoo
5yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 70
Musselburgh · Champagne Pommery Brut Royal Handicap · 5f 1y
#1
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Hamilton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Ayr | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hamilton | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Musselburgh | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 95% | +0.89 |