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Nabati

2yo Colt · 9-11 · OR 102

Newmarket · Carling Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

850,000 gns Night of Thunder colt who easily landed short odds in 4-runner 6f maiden at Yarmouth (firm) on debut and was much improved when going down by a neck to another smart prospect in 6f Newbury listed race 3 weeks ago, still green but finishing clear of the rest. More to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength36%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 6f3y GF 1332/0741 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/071projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Newbury12nd-2th+3
2026-07-02Yarmouth41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0717/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20261st2/999%100%+0.01
17/07/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05