8
Royal Accord
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 72
Newmarket · Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-08-15 | Newmarket | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-23 | Leicester | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-07-08 | Brighton | 6 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 30/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 19/06/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 08/07/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 23/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 24/07/2026 | 18th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |