4
Albeseeingyer
7yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 66
Newmarket · Rekorderlig Fillies' Handicap · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Wetherby | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Leicester | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Leicester | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Doncaster | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 26/09/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 10% | -0.27 |
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/03/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.20 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |