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7

Melodical

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 62

Newmarket · Rekorderlig Fillies' Handicap · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran to just a modest level at best from 3 outings last year. There may be more to come now handicapping over further and yard can get one ready with Oisin Murphy booked, though he has work to do at the weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chepstow 14/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f16y Goo 12614/0855 @ Wolverhampton 16/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12616/0955 @ Chelmsford City 09/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f Std 1249/105projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-09Chelmsford City55th5th0
2025-09-16Wolverhampton53rd3rd0
2025-08-14Chepstow54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0816/099/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20254th11/142%57%+0.15
16/09/20253rd10/382%71%-0.11
09/10/20255th12/137%33%-0.04