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3

Blue Noon

3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 75

Newmarket · Aspall Handicap · 1m 2f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Consistent sort that arrives on the back of 2 placed efforts, taking a slight step forward when 4½ lengths second of 5 to Cyrano De Bergerac at Sandown a fortnight ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 22/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/0942 @ Newmarket 01/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS1/0523 @ Salisbury 14/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f201y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS14/0534 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m2f70y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 77 par30/054OR 775 @ Lingfield 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 75 · 1m2f Goo 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 75 par18/065OR 754 @ Sandown 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 76 · 1m1f209y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 76 par24/074OR 76projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Sandown42nd1st+1
2026-06-18Lingfield53rd3rd0
2026-05-30Chester46th5th+1
2026-05-14Salisbury33rd1st+2
2026-05-01Newmarket24th0th+3
2025-09-22Leicester44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/091/0514/0530/0518/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 3
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength86%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 3. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20254th15/261%73%+0.12
01/05/20264th10/382%50%-0.32
14/05/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33
30/05/20266th14/126%44%+0.18
18/06/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
24/07/20262nd10/147%75%+0.28