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Passionforglory

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 71

Penn National · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Penn National 06/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f Fas 1246/11C9C6 @ Penn National 23/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 67 par23/04C6OR 67C6 @ Penn National 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 71 par29/05C6OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-29Penn National?1st0th+1
2026-04-23Penn National?2nd1st+1
2025-11-06Penn National?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1123/0429/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/11/20253rd5/174%71%-0.02
23/04/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10
29/05/20261st5/287%100%+0.13