4
Divulge
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 67
Penn National · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 25/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 10/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |