1
Honorisia
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 70
Penn National · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/6
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2025-12-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 18/12/2025 | 11th | 10/3 | 82% | 9% | -0.73 |
| 17/01/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |