6
Loaf Of Sof
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 51
Penn National · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |