Addy's Laddy T N T
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 78
Penn National · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 04/04/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 07/06/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 05/07/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 30/07/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |