1
Going At It
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Penn National · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Penn National | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |