4
Windsor Gold
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 96
Penn National · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-06 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-04-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 02/11/2024 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 04/04/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |