Admiral Sol
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 66
Saratoga · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
51%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |