8

Dia Por Dia

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 63

Saratoga · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Aqueduct 21/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f 12221/11C9C7 @ Aqueduct 09/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 81 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 81 par9/01C7OR 81projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-09Aqueduct?5th4th+1
2025-11-21Aqueduct?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/119/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
09/01/20265th7/491%20%-0.71