4
Furry Fox
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 60
Saratoga · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 19/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |