3
Code
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 94
Saratoga · Race 10 - Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Oaks - Grade 2 · 1m 1f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 11th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |