Imaginationthelady
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 103
Saratoga · Race 10 - Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Oaks - Grade 2 · 1m 1f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 31/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |