7
Just Aloof
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 101
Saratoga · Race 10 - Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Oaks - Grade 2 · 1m 1f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength30%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |