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Kentucky Belle

3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 91

Saratoga · Race 10 - Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Oaks - Grade 2 · 1m 1f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -5.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 27/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m 11927/09C6C6 @ Keeneland 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 90 · 1m1f Fm 119 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 90 par24/10C6OR 90C6 @ Churchill Downs 29/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 96 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark29/11/2025 · OR 96 par29/11C6OR 96C6 @ Gulfstream 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 89 par7/03C6OR 89C5 @ Keeneland 18/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 94 · 1m1f110y Fm 118 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 94 par18/04C5OR 94projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-18Keeneland?1st7th−5
2026-03-07Gulfstream?2nd8th−5
2025-11-29Churchill Downs?1st8th−6
2025-10-24Keeneland?3rd10th−6
2025-09-27Churchill Downs?3rd10th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0924/1029/117/0318/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20253rd10/382%75%-0.07
24/10/20253rd11/1094%82%-0.12
29/11/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
07/03/20262nd7/282%91%+0.09
18/04/20261st11/893%100%+0.07