7
Curlin's Magic
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 83
Saratoga · Race 11 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |