9

Heavenly Light
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 85
Saratoga · Race 11 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2024 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 16/01/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 09/02/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 15/03/2025 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |