9

Heavenly Light

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 85

Saratoga · Race 11 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Aqueduct 13/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark13/12/2024 · OR 78 par13/12C7OR 78C7 @ Aqueduct 16/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark16/01/2025 · OR 75 parC7 @ Aqueduct 09/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 76 · 1m Gd 122 · below its mark09/02/2025 · OR 76 par9/02C7OR 76C7 @ Aqueduct 15/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark15/03/2025 · OR 78 parC7 @ Aqueduct 16/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 80 · 1m 121 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 80 par16/01C7OR 80C8 @ Aqueduct 05/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 81 · 7f Slo 123 · beat its mark05/03/2026 · OR 81 parC7 @ Aqueduct 02/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 1m 126 · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 78 par2/04C7OR 78C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Saratoga 04/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 81 par4/06C7OR 81projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-04Saratoga?6th6th0
2026-05-15Belmont At The Big A?3rd3rd0
2026-04-02Aqueduct?1st1st0
2026-03-05Aqueduct?1st2nd1
2026-01-16Aqueduct?5th5th0
2025-03-15Aqueduct?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1215/032/044/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength55%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/20241st4/696%100%+0.04
16/01/20252nd2/189%86%-0.04
09/02/20252nd7/491%83%-0.07
15/03/20252nd1/297%80%-0.17
16/01/20265th5/174%20%-0.54
05/03/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
02/04/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
15/05/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07
04/06/20266th8/158%55%-0.03