Lika Rolling Stone
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 83
Saratoga · Race 11 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 0th | +6 |
| 2026-06-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |