5
Dancing Miracle
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 67
Saratoga · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Meadowlands | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 17/10/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |