4
Luckbeourlady
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 56
Saratoga · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readWELL IN
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength73%
What the class read says
Strong hidden class form — has met tougher company than today and the bare form doesn't fully capture it. Should find this level easier.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |