1
Midnight Blue
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 60
Saratoga · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |