3
Raynham Hall
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72
Saratoga · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 13% | -0.72 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |