8
Coach Ryan
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 88
Saratoga · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |