IvyArcIvyArc
12

Liam's Legacy

3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 81

Saratoga · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 10/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m 12010/05C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 1m 120 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 78 par11/06C6OR 78projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Belmont At The Big A?3rd3rd0
2026-05-10Belmont At The Big A?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0511/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
11/06/20263rd5/493%67%-0.27