13

Professor Proton

3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 78

Saratoga · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

26%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 04/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f110y 1224/02C6C6 @ Aqueduct 14/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 43 · 7f 122 · beat its mark14/03/2026 · OR 43 par14/03C6OR 43C6 @ Saratoga 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 69 · 1m110y 121 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 69 par11/07C6OR 69projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Saratoga?3rd3rd0
2026-03-14Aqueduct?4th4th0
2026-02-04Aqueduct?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0214/0311/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20266th25/10%38%+0.38
14/03/20264th66/10%63%+0.63
11/07/20263rd16/116%80%+0.64