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2

Runcot

3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 77

Saratoga · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#13

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 07/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 1217/06C6C6 @ Saratoga 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 63 par11/07C6OR 63projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Saratoga?8th8th0
2026-06-07Saratoga?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20268th40/10%42%+0.42
11/07/20268th14/126%30%+0.04