Party In The Army
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 91
Saratoga · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Finger Lakes | BHA86 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-09-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 22/09/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |