5
Three B's
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 83
Saratoga · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 14% | -0.70 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |