8

What's Up Bro
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 78
Saratoga · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |