Leftembehind
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 86
Saratoga · Race 5 - Starter Allowance · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |