Frostelle
5yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 77
Saratoga · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/9
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2024 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 01/08/2024 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 4/9 | 98% | 13% | -0.85 |