5
Gypsy Dreaming
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 86
Saratoga · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 73% | -0.17 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |