Russi
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 88
Saratoga · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-08-27 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2024 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 55% | -0.31 |
| 10/11/2024 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 27/08/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |