6
Two Ducks
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 81
Saratoga · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |