Mike's Magic
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 70
Saratoga · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-12-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/09/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |