4
Reside
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 65
Saratoga · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2015 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 27% | -0.54 |
| 09/10/2015 | 1st | 15/1 | 21% | 100% | +0.79 |
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |