Shangrala Road
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 88
Saratoga · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-06-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-06-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 08/04/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 01/06/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 44% | -0.38 |
| 28/06/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |