Sociably Johnny
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 73
Saratoga · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-02-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-01-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |