The Obliterator
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 89
Saratoga · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
73%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-02-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 23/11/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |