You're Lookin Good
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 70
Saratoga · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-02-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 25/09/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |