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8

Blinging It Back

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 103

Saratoga · Race 9 - National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength26%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saratoga 05/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 95 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark05/06/2025 · OR 95 par5/06C5OR 95C1 @ Saratoga 05/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 97 · 6f Fas 118 · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 97 parC6 @ Saratoga 02/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 93 · 6f110y 119 · below its mark02/08/2025 · OR 93 par2/08C6OR 93C6 @ Kentucky Downs 10/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 83 · 6f110y 119 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 83 parC0 @ Keeneland 05/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 118 · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 84 par5/10C?OR 84C5 @ Gulfstream 28/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 7f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 84 parC0 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 90 par2/05C?OR 90C1 @ Saratoga 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 96 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 96 parC5 @ Saratoga 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 101 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 101 par3/07C5OR 101projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Saratoga?2nd7th−4
2026-06-04Saratoga?7th7th−0
2026-05-02Churchill Downs?5th5th+0
2026-03-28Gulfstream?3rd8th−4
2025-10-05Keeneland?8th8th0
2025-09-10Kentucky Downs?1st8th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0610/092/053/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20252nd2/189%75%-0.14
05/07/20252nd6/492%80%-0.12
02/08/20258th11/486%0%-0.86
10/09/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
05/10/20258th25/10%36%+0.36
28/03/20263rd8/158%67%+0.09
02/05/20265th50/10%67%+0.67
04/06/20267th10/147%25%-0.22
03/07/20262nd16/116%90%+0.74